Tag: forecast

  • Revision 360 of Risk Aware Investing after SVB Collapse – 1. The Financial Sector

    Revision 360 of Risk Aware Investing after SVB Collapse – 1. The Financial Sector

    Following our recent analysis of the US banking crisis, let’s perform revision 360 of risk aware investing after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. Clickable Table of Contents: Headlines The Guardian Mon 13 Mar 2023 06.42 GMT: Seeking Alpha Update Zacks Investment Research 15 March 2023: Stocks Close Higher On Moderating CPI…

  • SARIMAX X-Validation of EIA Crude Oil Prices Forecast in 2023 – 2. Brent

    SARIMAX X-Validation of EIA Crude Oil Prices Forecast in 2023 – 2. Brent

    Based on our previous study, our today’s focus is on SARIMAX time-series X-validation of the Brent crude oil spot price USD/b: viz. the goal is to verify the following EIA energy forecast in 2023 According to EIA, the Brent spot price will average $83.63/b in 2023. Table of Contents Prerequisites In this study we will be…

  • A Comparative Analysis of The 3 Best Global Growth Stocks in Q1’23 – 2. AZN

    A Comparative Analysis of The 3 Best Global Growth Stocks in Q1’23 – 2. AZN

    StockNews TradingView The 1-week summary of AZN based on the most popular technical indicators, such as Moving Averages, Oscillators and Pivots: TradingView Analyst Rating based upon 42 analysts giving stock ratings to AZN in the past 3 months. The 37 analysts offering 1 year price forecast for AZN. AlgoTrading Let’s set the working directory YOURPATH…

  • A Comparative Analysis of The 3 Best U.S. Growth Stocks in Q1’23 – 1. WMT

    A Comparative Analysis of The 3 Best U.S. Growth Stocks in Q1’23 – 1. WMT

    Featured Photo by Karolina Grabowska on Pexels Let’s begin with WMT that operates a chain of hypermarkets (also called supercenters), discount department stores, and grocery stores in the United States, headquartered in Bentonville, Arkansas. Table of Contents StockNews Rating TradingView Screening The 1-week summary of Walmart Inc is based on the most popular technical indicators, such as Moving Averages, Oscillators and…

  • SARIMAX X-Validation of EIA Crude Oil Prices Forecast in 2023 – 1. WTI

    SARIMAX X-Validation of EIA Crude Oil Prices Forecast in 2023 – 1. WTI

    Featured Photo by Pixabay Table of Contents: Let’s perform SARIMAX X-validation of EIA WTI and Brent oil prices forecast in the 2nd half of 2023. Recall that SARIMAX (Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average with eXogenous factors) is an updated version of the ARIMA model for time series forecasting. SARIMAX is a seasonal equivalent to SARIMA…

  • SARIMAX-TSA Forecasting, QC and Visualization of E-Commerce Food Delivery Sales

    SARIMAX-TSA Forecasting, QC and Visualization of E-Commerce Food Delivery Sales

    Featured Photo by Ella Olsson on Pexels Inspired by the recent TSA e-commerce use-case, this article is a beginner-friendly guide to help you understand and evaluate ARIMA-based time-series forecasting models such as SARIMA and SARIMAX. Objective: To understand the basic concepts of ARIMA, SARIMA and SARIMAX in terms of Time Series Forecasting QC. Application: We will…

  • BTC-USD Freefall vs FB/Meta Prophet 2022-23 Predictions

    BTC-USD Freefall vs FB/Meta Prophet 2022-23 Predictions

    It is widely recognized that crypto price prediction is considered a very challenging task, due to its chaotic (highly volatile) and very complex nature. Nethertheless, accurate predictions can assist crypto investors towards right investing decisions. Why not Predicting BTC-USD Prices Using Facebook’s Prophet? Let’s discuss this state-of-the-art model within the context of BTC-USD 2022-23 price prediction…

  • Stock Forecasting with FBProphet

    Stock Forecasting with FBProphet

    Prophet from Meta (Facebook) is a procedure for forecasting time series data such as stocks. Prophet is robust to missing data and shifts in the trend, and typically handles outliers well.