Tag: sarima

  • Retail Sales, Store Item Demand Time-Series Analysis/Forecasting: AutoEDA, FB Prophet, SARIMAX & Model Tuning

    Retail Sales, Store Item Demand Time-Series Analysis/Forecasting: AutoEDA, FB Prophet, SARIMAX & Model Tuning

    This study compares and evaluates various forecasting models to predict sales and demand for retail businesses. The focus is on Time Series Analysis (TSA) methods such as FB Prophet and SARIMAX. The final FB Prophet model yields MAE=4.252 and MAPE=0.168, while SARIMAX models’ best performing variant achieves MAE=6.285 and MAPE=0.213. The study emphasizes the importance…

  • Sales Forecasting: tslearn, Random Walk, Holt-Winters, SARIMAX, GARCH, Prophet, and LSTM

    Sales Forecasting: tslearn, Random Walk, Holt-Winters, SARIMAX, GARCH, Prophet, and LSTM

    The data science project involves evaluating various sales forecasting algorithms in Python using a Kaggle time-series dataset. The forecasting algorithms include tslearn, Random Walk, Holt-Winters, SARIMA, GARCH, Prophet, LSTM and Di Pietro’s Model. The goal is to predict next month’s sales for a list of shops and products, which slightly changes every month. The best…

  • SARIMAX Forecasting of Online Food Delivery Sales

    SARIMAX Forecasting of Online Food Delivery Sales

    This article provides a beginner-friendly guide to understanding and evaluating ARIMA-based time-series forecasting models such as SARIMA and SARIMAX. It focuses on an QC-optimized SARIMA(X) model to forecast the e-commerce sales of a food delivery company. The post covers essential concepts, data processing, model comparisons, and insights. It also includes a comparison between SARIMA and…