Tag: return
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A Market-Neutral Strategy
The work aims to solve the problem of Markowitz portfolio optimization for a one-year investment horizon through the pairs trading cointegrated strategy. Market-neutral trading strategies seek to generate returns independent of market swings to achieve a zero beta against its relevant market index. Statistical arbitrage (SA), pairs trading, and APO signals are analyzed. The study…
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A Comprehensive Analysis of Best Trading Technical Indicators w/ TA-Lib – Tesla ’23
This study presents a comprehensive stock technical analysis guide for Tesla (TSLA) using the TA-Lib Python library. It explores the use of over 200 technical indicators, analyses historical data, and offers insight for both swing traders and long-term holders. The content includes detailed explanations and plots for various momentum, volume, volatility, and trend indicators, providing…
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Dividend-NG-BTC Diversify Big Tech
SEO Title: Can Dividends, Natural Gas and Crypto Diversify Big Techs? Ultimately, we need to answer the following fundamental question: Can Dividend Kings, NGUSD and BTC-USD Diversify Growth Tech assets? Dividends are very popular among investors, especially those who want a steady stream of income from their investments. Some companies choose to share their profits…
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Oracle Monte Carlo Stock Simulations
Oracle Corporation’s significant developments in Generative AI have led to lucrative partnerships with Nvidia and Elon Musk’s xAI. Having secured contracts exceeding $4 billion for its Generation 2 Cloud designed for AI model training, Oracle’s earnings doubled in Q4 2023. Monte Carlo simulations align with Zacks Rank 3-Hold for ORCL, implying bullish potential with projected…
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Multiple-Criteria Technical Analysis of Blue Chips in Python
Blue chip stocks are the stocks of well-known, high-quality companies. We demonstrate that the proposed approach can help optimize the blue-chip portfolios comprehensively.
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Blue-Chip Stock Portfolios for Quant Traders
This post delves into optimizing blue-chip stock portfolios using Python fintech libraries for private DIY self-traders. It includes steps for examining trading signals, comparing stock returns, performing analyses, and implementing forecast models. The content covers AAPL trading signals, risk vs. ROI analysis, a 4-stock portfolio, Monte-Carlo predictions, SPY return/volatility, and SPY Prophet forecast. The examples…
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Working with FRED API in Python: U.S. Recession Forecast & Beyond
The FRED API, or Federal Reserve Economic Data, provides over 267,000 economic time series from 80 sources, offering a wealth of data to promote economic education and research. It encompasses U.S. economic and financial data, including interest rates, monetary indicators, exchange rates, and regional economic data. Additionally, we analyzed correlations, trained currency exchange prediction models,…
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Joint Analysis of Bitcoin, Gold and Crude Oil Prices
The content discusses a comprehensive analysis on a joint time-series analysis of Bitcoin, Gold and Crude Oil prices from 2021 to 2023. It explores data processing, exploratory data analysis before running a range of statistical tests, ARIMA models fitting, and finally, using the Markowitz portfolio optimization method. It then presents a detailed analysis, including data…
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Gold Price Linear Regression
This content focuses on predicting gold prices using machine learning algorithms in Python. With an 80% R2-score and a Sharpe ratio of 2.33, it suggests a potential 8% revenue from an investment starting in December 2022. The forecasted next-day price for SPDR Gold Trust Shares is $185.136, aligning with Barchart’s “100% BUY” signal.
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Post-SVB Risk Aware Investing
The recent collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and its repercussions have prompted a reevaluation of risk-aware investing in the US financial sector. The crisis has exposed the vulnerability of banks invested in long-term fixed income assets, highlighting the importance of diversification and risk management. Market indicators suggest continued volatility and uncertainty, urging investors to exercise…
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LSTM Price Predictions of 4 Tech Stocks
The given content explains the process of using Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Sequential model for comparing the risk/return of four major tech stocks: Apple, Google, Microsoft, and Amazon, considering the tech scenario in 2023. The analysis involves examining stock price patterns, their correlations, risk-return assessment, and predicting stock prices using…
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Portfolio Optimization of 20 Dividend Growth Stocks
The post discusses implementing a stochastic optimization algorithm to create a balanced portfolio of 20 dividend growth stocks for maximum return within defined risk tolerance. By analyzing daily stock and benchmark data, the algorithm optimizes the portfolio to outperform the benchmark index and achieve desired risk-reward outcomes. The results facilitate spreading investment capital across diverse…
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Donchian Channel Trading Systems
This article explores the application of algo trading using Python for Altria Group, Inc., a Dividend King diversifying beyond smoking. The historical data for Altria is used to test and contrast trading strategies based on the Donchian Channel indicator. The key is to compare the highest total return when using the Donchian Channel Breakout versus…
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Stock Portfolio Risk/Return Optimization
The content describes the implementation of an end-to-end Python stock optimization workflow, including steps like importing libraries, setting up key variables, downloading and cleaning stock data, portfolio analysis, and visual representation of the best portfolio. The script aims to minimize the Risk/Return ratio with respect to a market benchmark, providing an efficient way to assess…
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